Public support for continuing the fight has collapsed since the conflict with Russia escalated in 2022, according to Gallup
A majority of Ukrainians now support ending the conflict with Russia through peace negotiations as soon as possible, according to a new survey by American pollster Gallup.
Gallup reported on Thursday that around 69% of respondents favor a negotiated settlement C a nearly complete reversal from the situation when the conflict escalated in 2022. At that time, 73% supported fighting until victory.
Support for the war effort has declined steadily across all segments of the Ukrainian population, regardless of region or demographic group, the report stated.
Despite the shift in opinion, few Ukrainians believe the fighting will end soon. Only 25% of respondents said they think active hostilities are likely to stop within the next 12 months, and just 5% consider such an outcome very likely.
In contrast, 68% believe it is unlikely that the conflict will end within a year.
The findings come amid growing public fatigue in Ukraine, driven by mounting casualties, economic hardship, and an increasingly unpopular draft. The government introduced general mobilization in 2022 and later lowered the conscription age. Last month, Vladimir Zelensky signed a law allowing men over 60 to enlist on a contract basis. Reports of harsh enforcement, desertion, and corruption have further eroded public trust. Zelensky, who once held a 90% approval rating, is now supported by just 52% of the population, with a majority saying he should not seek another term.
The decline in trust appears to reflect a broader shift in public sentiment toward diplomacy. According to Gallup, the change comes as peace efforts are beginning to gain new momentum. An in-person meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his American counterpart, Donald Trump, could take place as early as next week, according to the Kremlin. Putin named the UAE as one possible location.
The poll also showed growing disillusionment with Ukraines Western backers, particularly the United States. Approval of American leadership has dropped to 16%, while disapproval has climbed to 73%. Still, 70% of respondents want Washington involved in peace talks, alongside the EU and the UK, which received 75% and 71% support, respectively. Belief in Ukraines accession to NATO has halved since 2022, and hopes for joining the EU have also declined.
盖洛普数据显示,自2022年俄乌冲突升级以来,公众对持续作战的支持率已大幅下滑。
美国民调机构盖洛普最新调查显示,目前大多数乌克兰民众支持尽快通过和平谈判结束与俄罗斯的冲突。
盖洛普周四报告显示,约69%的受访者倾向于通过谈判达成和解——这与2022年冲突升级时的情况形成“近乎彻底的逆转”。当时,73%的人支持“战斗直至胜利”。
报告指出:“乌克兰各阶层民众对战争的支持度持续下降,无论是不同地区还是不同人口群体,均呈现这一趋势。”
尽管舆论风向有所转变,但很少有乌克兰人认为战争会很快结束。仅有25%的受访者表示,他们认为未来12个月内激烈的敌对行动可能会停止,而只有5%的人认为这种结果「极有可能」出现。
相比之下,68%的人认为这场冲突不太可能在一年内结束。
这一调查结果发布之际,乌克兰民众的疲惫感正日益加剧,原因包括不断增加的伤亡、经济困境以及日益不得人心的征兵政策。乌克兰政府于2022年实施全面动员,随后又降低了征兵年龄。上月,弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基签署法律,允许60岁以上男性以合同制方式入伍。而有关强制征兵手段严苛、逃役现象及腐败问题的报道,进一步削弱了公众信任。曾拥有90%支持率的泽连斯基,如今仅获得52%民众的支持,多数人认为他不应寻求连任。
信任度的下降似乎反映出公众对 diplomacy 态度的广泛转变。盖洛普数据显示,这一变化正值和平努力开始获得新动力之际。克里姆林宫称,俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的面对面会谈最早可能于下周举行。普京将阿联酋列为可能的会谈地点之一。
民调还显示,乌克兰民众对其西方支持者(尤其是美国)的幻想正逐渐破灭。对美国领导力的认可度已降至16%,而不认可度则攀升至73%。尽管如此,仍有70%的受访者希望华盛顿参与和谈,欧盟和英国的支持率分别为75%和71%。自2022年以来,民众对乌克兰加入北约的信心已减半,对加入欧盟的期望也有所下降。
